“Particularly bad poll numbers for a candidate can also lead to a mobilization of the fans and supporters of this politician,” analyzed INSA boss Hermann Binkert in a TV interview with exxpressTV and exxpress.at when the extremely poor values for Alexander Van der Barking (78) have been published. The current Federal President would have received only 39% of the votes, which would be an election debacle for an incumbent.
But now Van der Bellen can breathe a sigh of relief: In a new survey by “Unique Research” for profil, the green campaigner is at least 59%. In a direct comparison with the previously presented “Unique Research” study, Van der Bellen also lost 7 percentage points – the downward trend is also evident here.
The six challengers don’t do particularly well in the new survey: FPÖ candidate Walter Rosenkranz remains at 13%, oe24 employee and ex-BZÖ politician Gerald Grosz increases at least three percentage points and now comes to 9%, followed by Tassilo Wallentin, the “Crown” candidate, with only 8%. The musician and doctor Dominik Wlazny alias Marco Pogo can only increase by two percentage points and is now at 7%.
MfG boss Michael Brunner and Heinrich Staudinger have to hope for a miracle according to the survey by “Unique Research”: Both come three weeks before the election on October 9th to only two percent.
The reasons for Van der Bellen’s leadership, which is still clear, are already being hotly debated: Many see a reason for this in the ORF’s somewhat irritating round of candidates, in which the head of state did not have to take part. In any case, the next major INSA survey by the eXXpress will bring even more clarity.