According to a report, Russian President Vladimir Putin no longer believes in a diplomatic solution in Ukraine. This could lead to a partition of the country being sought.
What’s next in Ukraine? At the moment, the Russian troops are mainly concentrating on the east and south of the country – areas that are mainly inhabited by Russian-speaking Ukrainians and in the past the majority voted for pro-Russian parties and presidents. According to one report, one reason for this is the “Financial TimesThe fact that Russia’s President, Vladimir Putin, apparently no longer believes in a diplomatic solution to the conflict. So new political realities must be created.
The Russian president is said to have seriously considered a peace deal after several battlefield setbacks over the past month. However, initial peace talks stalled after a meeting in Istanbul in late March after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky accused the Kremlin of committing war crimes against civilians in Mariupol and Bucha. It is still very unclear how many of the allegations against the Russian troops are Ukrainian war propaganda – knowing full well that in the West one accepts such allegations without thinking and without examining them.
According to Putin, peace efforts were at a “dead end” and he was particularly upset about the sinking of Russia’s Black Sea flagship Moskva, two sources tell the FT. “There was hope for an agreement. Putin has moved back and forth. He has to find a way to emerge victorious from this,” said a source, adding that when the Moskva was sinking, Putin “was opposed to signing anything. […] After the sinking of the Moscow River, he doesn’t look like a winner because it was a humiliation.”
According to a relatively new narrative, Putin has a “distorted” view of the war because his own generals and Russian television paint a victorious picture – which is said to have prompted the Russian President to insist that no civilians were hit in the attacks. “Putin sincerely believes in the nonsense that he [russischen] He listens to TV and he wants to win big,” a source said. And so the Financial Times reports:
Facilitators including Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, European Council President Charles Michel and billionaire Chelsea FC owner Roman Abramovich have tried to get Putin to meet Zelenskyy in hopes of breaking the deadlock able to overcome the situation. Russian and Ukrainian negotiators have put most other issues on hold as they try to broker an agreement on guarantees for Kiev’s security if the country declares neutrality and abandons efforts to join NATO. Putin told Michel in a phone call on Friday that talks have stalled because Ukraine has “put up a wall” and said it was “not the right time” to meet Zelenskyy, according to a person familiar with the conversation.
Negotiators say Putin’s new stance on diplomacy would mean Russia believes it can capture more Ukrainian territory. That would mean dividing the country into pro-Western Western Ukraine and pro-Russian Eastern Ukraine. The pro-Russian part could stretch from Moldova along the Black Sea coast to the Donbass. Western Ukraine would then have control of the central part around Kyiv and the western part around Lviv. A scenario that is entirely within the realm of possibility should Kyiv not be willing to make concessions.