The West is concerned about the deployment of troops, although there are still differences in assessing Moscow’s intentions. While the US feared a “new attack by Russia on Ukraine like in 2014”, security circles in Berlin and Kiev are more likely to assume that Russia will attempt to intimidate them, as reported by the “Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung” (FAS).
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken reiterated Washington’s fears on Saturday. His country is following the “unusual military activities of Russia on the border with Ukraine” with “real concern,” he said. Washington does not know the intentions of the Russian President Vladimir Putin, said the US Secretary of State. “But we know what happened in the past.” Russia had previously invoked “a sham provocation by Ukraine or another country” and used this as a pretext for the annexation of the Crimean peninsula.
According to the FAS, Washington fears an attack in December when the floors freeze in Eastern Europe and tanks stop sinking in the mud. Berlin security circles, however, evaluate the statements from Russia in such a way that Moscow no longer wants to tolerate the usual bilateral exercises between the USA or Great Britain and the Ukraine, as well as the delivery of US anti-tank weapons. Germany does not see an acute danger of war.
The situation is similar in Ukraine itself, reports “NTV”. She referred to a statement by the first deputy secretary of the National Security and Defense Council, Ruslan Demchenko, according to which the “risk of an invasion of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine” is “increased”, but currently no statement can be made about “how high it is Degree of military preparations of the Kremlin is ”. In his opinion, the military leadership uses the method of a “hybrid war” in which the enemy is manipulated by the “threat of a military invasion”.