The Covid prognosis consortium assumes that between 300 and 435 inpatient Covid-19 patients will need intensive care in two weeks. On Wednesday, 250 seriously ill patients were treated in intensive care units. Between 1149 and 2148 patients are expected in normal wards on November 11th. It currently holds at 1007.
In individual federal states, this development could lead to the Covid-19 coating in intensive care units exceeding the critical utilization limit of 33 percent in two weeks on Thursday – this would mean the highest level in the government’s new Corona plan, which would only be a lockdown Unvaccinated provides. According to the current assessment of the experts, this probability is 35 percent in Vorarlberg, 15 percent in Vienna and ten percent in Burgenland.
The daily new infections – more than 4200 were recorded on Wednesday – should, according to the forecasting consortium, be between 4595 and 6322 on November 11, which, with a time delay, gives rise to fears of a further increase in hospitals in late autumn. In any case, the experts warn of a “significant increase in the seven-day incidence (number of new infections in the past seven days per 100,000 inhabitants)”, which will be over 360 in Austria next Wednesday and possibly reach 495.
According to the forecasts, it looks darkest in Salzburg, where the incidence will amount to between 514 and 819 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. A seven-day incidence of 450 to 717 is expected in Upper Austria; Vorarlberg (377 to 603) and Carinthia (372 to 594) will probably also be above the Austrian average on November 4. The lowest seven-day incidence is expected in Vienna, it should be between 200 and 319 on November 4th. However, in the federal capital alone, between 94 and 156 Covid patients are likely to have intensive medical care needs. (APA / red)
